The first presidential debate will set record Super Bowl-Like Ratings.
Nearly 3 in 4 voters will watch the first presidential debate next Monday, according to The Hill and a Morning Consult poll.
Seventy-three percent of all voters said that they were “somewhat likely” to watch the debates. Moreover, an astounding 44 percent of voters saying that they are “very likely” to watch the debates.
Using the 2012 election as a basis, 129,172,069 Americans cast a vote for the presidency. Simple math puts the expected amount of viewers for the first debate at 94,295,610 viewers.
The first debate in the 2012 election between President Obama and Governor Romney had 67.2 million viewers.
Nielsen puts the highest rated debate at 80.6 million viewers for the 1980 debate between President Carter and Governor Reagan.
Should the Morning Consult poll hold true, the Trump-Clinton debate will destroy the record for viewers.
It comes as no surprise, as Trump’s celebrity and brash debate style in the primaries led to record viewership.
Given the historic unfavorability of both candidates and Trump’s bravado, his personality draws in a multitude of listeners.
It bears resemblance to the Howard Stern phenomenon, as explained in his movie Private Parts.
Researcher: The average radio listener listens for eighteen minutes. The average Howard Stern fan listens for – are you ready for this? – an hour and twenty minutes.
Pig Vomit: How can that be?
Researcher: Answer most commonly given? “I want to see what he’ll say next.”
Pig Vomit: Okay, fine. But what about the people who hate Stern?
Researcher: Good point. The average Stern hater listens for two and a half hours a day.
Pig Vomit: But… if they hate him, why do they listen?
Researcher: Most common answer? “I want to see what he’ll say next.”
The Trump-Clinton debates will utterly destroy records.
Getting 94.2 million viewers would be an 16.87% increase over the record-setting Carter-Reagan debates. It would be an even larger 40.18% increase in viewers over the largest Obama-Romney debate in 2012.
The Super Bowl famously draws the largest amount of viewers for an event in the United States. At the current projections, the Trump-Clinton debate will be on the level of Super Bowl XLI of 2007, which had 93.18 million viewers.
Trump is a spectacle to watch.
Why do we watch?
We want to see what he’ll say next.
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